Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 58.836367 66.943325 75.287426 84.484004 94.303328 104.443371 115.675837
2025-06-29 45.872482 57.324459 69.712919 83.970938 99.795955 116.702296 136.012564
2025-07-06 37.010477 49.966765 64.549282 81.886736 101.669060 123.298637 148.505737
2025-07-13 33.258782 47.762644 64.597759 85.102317 108.965829 135.480562 166.803774
2025-07-20 29.648178 45.212305 63.814048 86.975396 114.407941 145.315336 182.251525
2025-07-27 25.575629 41.623314 61.404896 86.594561 116.951987 151.618556 193.504168
2025-08-03 21.966926 38.235366 58.922570 85.844986 118.825972 156.959476 203.494895
2025-08-10 19.416136 35.980407 57.647630 86.388758 122.093806 163.809551 215.137087
2025-08-17 16.752167 33.287014 55.589454 85.770928 123.805944 168.712082 224.418004
2025-08-24 14.736479 31.308985 54.312015 86.008701 126.460675 174.656512 234.862845
2025-08-31 12.571465 28.866840 52.228468 85.058838 127.524860 178.604733 242.877801
2025-09-07 11.330987 27.728967 51.851694 86.270233 131.245326 185.728635 254.651400
2025-09-14 10.234779 26.732805 51.635421 87.693822 135.270296 193.291507 267.056753
2025-09-21 8.664774 24.745043 49.861916 86.926130 136.430770 197.307922 275.181548
2025-09-28 6.977958 22.293803 47.226961 84.838054 135.773470 198.994395 280.417037
2025-10-05 6.680046 22.407343 48.459918 88.113669 142.114094 209.386243 296.257886
2025-10-12 6.119220 21.932537 48.741466 90.025932 146.649946 217.522713 309.354831
2025-10-19 5.165181 20.511668 47.447374 89.637200 148.096672 221.754886 317.652013
2025-10-26 4.260833 19.025768 45.945189 88.872400 148.985820 225.245031 325.009676
2025-11-02 3.676189 18.151858 45.381984 89.427237 151.616869 230.924945 335.062989
2025-11-09 2.989464 16.875491 44.056159 88.796828 152.599873 234.476789 342.460867
2025-11-16 2.503603 15.995947 43.346472 89.039447 154.742949 239.495369 351.674350
2025-11-23 1.943703 14.735259 41.875949 88.070192 155.176414 242.285100 358.085737